财经快讯

二次进攻下1340果断被上破 黄金本月将冲刺1390$?

日期:2017-09-06
黄金的坚实表现令Meir印象深刻,而之所以作出上述预期,则是因为黄金已经站上三顶阻力位1300美元/盎司,从而会吸引更多的资金进入黄金长期多头头寸。
  

Meir认为驱动本月黄金的一个关键因素是美联储未来加息基调走鸽,而市场对美联储加息概率的预期也会下调。
  

事实上,美国8月份创造的就业机会比市场预期的要少。美国劳工统计局周 五表示,8月就业岗位只增加了15.6万人,没有达到市场普遍预期的18万人。
  

另外,美联储最依赖的通胀指标——剔除食品和能源的个人消费支出价格指数(核心PCE)第二季度仅上涨了0.9%,创下两年来的最慢速度。
  

周二,美联储理事布雷纳德警告说,目前通胀远低于目标水平,潜在的趋势通胀率目前或有所降低,直到通胀重回轨道前,都将谨慎对待加息。她还说,美联储或将比中期预期更为谨慎地渐进加息。
  
二次进攻下1340果断被上破 黄金本月将冲刺1390$?(图1)
布雷纳德表达了对当前通胀的担忧,她甚至还说,美联储应清楚表明可以将通胀略为推升至目标上方一段时间。
  

而明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利在出席明尼苏达大学一次活动中表示,美联储或将允许通胀预期下滑。
  

卡什卡利近期一直不赞成加息,他周二说,考虑到通胀与就业增长方面,美联储加息仍不合适,美联储加息或对美国经济造成伤害。

除了央行们的基调走鸽,其他因素也对黄金有利。Meir认为,美朝紧张局势将在9月继续会为黄金带来短期支撑,此外还有美朝关系、白宫乱局以及债务上限带来的美元疲软也会进一步推动金价上涨。
 
 
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