财经快讯

英国商会:脱欧准备进行中 经济却原地踏步

日期:2017-09-08
周五(9月8日)英国商会(BCC)称,即将脱欧之际,英国经济“原地踏步”,此前该机构下调对未来2年的增长预测。

英国商会预计,英国2018年经济增长为2008-2009年衰退以来最低,国内生产总值(GDP)仅增长1.2%,低于此前预测的1.3%。2019年料增长1.4%。

英国商会总干事马歇尔(Adam Marshall)表示,“尽管一些商业报告交易状况强劲,但英国经济整体原地踏步,没有迹象显示经济增长恢复更健康的水平。”

近期公布的路透调查显示,如果英国脱欧进程顺利,英国经济2017年料增长1.6%,2018年料放缓至1.3%。

英国商会:脱欧准备进行中 经济却原地踏步(图1)
英国商会称,整体上看,英国脱欧公投后英镑大跌弊大于利。英国经济或陷入“缓慢增长轨道”,使政府更有必要消除英国脱欧及国内商业环境的不确定性。

鉴于英镑贬值造成通胀大幅上升,令家庭承压,经济创2012年以来最慢的上半年增速。

英国脱欧公投后英镑贬值,使进口商品变贵,但没什么证据表明顾客因此不买那些进口商品。

英国商会将把英国央行(BOE)首次升息的时间预估后推6个月,至2018年第三季度。

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