财经快讯

有人从股市和黄金之间发现问题 一场大危机说来就来

日期:2017-09-12
一场大范围的国际银行业危机是不可避免的,而且可能即将发生,这应该是显而易见的——由于负债水平极高,许多银行都面临破产风险。
  

诸如股市崩盘这样的事件可能令许多银行破产,因为“股市灾难”将产生现金压力,从而暴露出银行无力履行义务的现实问题。现金仍是银行用于承担责任和履行义务的方式,如果一家银行倒闭,那么很有可能引发“现金流”方面的连锁反应,从而造成大范围的国际银行业危机。
有人从股市和黄金之间发现问题 一场大危机说来就来(图1)
银行们都在争夺可用的现金资源,它们不想被各种经济问题影响现金流。这就与大萧条期间黄金被充公时发生的事情类似。那时,银行用黄金来证明自己的偿债能力,因此才想方设法的阻止公众争夺数量有限的黄金资源。

出于这个原因,笔者相信这次危机中黄金不可能被充公。现在,现金是银行系统的基石,因为银行系统承诺的是现今,而非黄金。
  

然而,当涉及到就即将发生的崩盘发出警告时,黄金还是关键的防御措施,它能防范一些金融损失。此前,笔者曾阐述了与黄金价格与流通美元互为影响的一些先兆。现在,看起来我们可能要么处于,要么非常接近这样一场潜在的事件。


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