财经快讯

2018年人事洗牌后美联储将倾向鹰派?

日期:2017-11-10

美联储对整个金融市场的影响力恐怕无人能及,其政策前景出现任何细微的变化都有可能令投资者改变看法。因此,了解美联储决策者的政策立场对投资者来说至关重要。
纽约联储主席杜德利本周被证实将于2018年中提前离任,这意味着明年美联储“三巨头”将全部易人。加之联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)投票席位每年的常规轮换,2018年美联储的政策立场或将略微偏向鹰派,不过,前景依然面临巨大变数。

 2018年人事洗牌后美联储将倾向鹰派?(图1)

杜德利的任期原本将于2019年1月结束。费希尔则已于今年10月提前卸下美联储副主席职务。明年2月,现任美联储主席耶伦任期就将届满,届时她不太可能继续留在美联储,尽管其作为美联储理事的任期要到2024年才结束。这几位重量级人物的立场在外界看来基本是鸽派或者中立派。

2018年,威廉姆斯与博斯蒂克这两位中立派将接替立场鸽派的埃文斯和卡什卡利,同时,作为鹰派代表的梅斯特也将获得投票权。

虽然上述阵容看上去略偏鹰派,但不确定性在于,目前FOMC副主席与两个理事职位空缺,里奇蒙德联储主席也处于空缺状态。现在看似倾向鹰派的天平极易被这些职位的继任者所改变。

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