财经快讯

德国商业银行:投资者忽略黄金 目前无须避险

日期:2017-12-13

德国商业银行(Commerzbank)在周二(12月12日)发布的报告中表示,投资者目前似乎无视黄金,但黄金近几年的表现与去年12月份下滑时一样,只是在新的一年上涨。周一现货黄金下跌至五个月的低点,略高于1240美元/盎司。

德国商业银行:投资者忽略黄金 目前无须避险(图1)

德国商业银行表示:“投资者似乎现在不需要避险,这也反映在股市仍在上涨以及VIX指数低于10的情况下。也就是说,目前黄金的交易模式几乎与近几年一样。自2011年以来,价格往往大幅下滑,到年底为止。唯一的例外是2014年。在美联储12月份会议前后,金价或者是年度低点,或者是周期性低点。之后,这一趋势明显恢复,直到下一年的上半年。目前的情形也可能与此次相似。”

该银行表示,最近几个月黄金疲软“没有明显的原因”,特别是由于印度和中国等国家的实物需求,这往往是一个季节性强的时期。

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