财经快讯

FED如期加息明年加息三次偏中性 美指下跌金价回升

日期:2017-12-14

北京时间周四(12月14日)三点,美联储如期宣布加息25个基点,并仍预计2018年加息三次。同时,美联储在政策声明中强调,预计2018年经济增速加快,劳动力市场依然强劲。此外,美联储剔除11月份声明中关于核心通胀疲软的措辞。整体声明措辞偏中性。目前,美指报93.65,跌0.46%。现货黄金报1254.22美元/盎司,涨0.76%。

FED如期加息明年加息三次偏中性 美指下跌金价回升(图1)

利率决议公布后,美元指数微跌,而金价则上涨。因美联储加息已基本被市场消化,且仍预计2018年加息三次,令整体政策声明措辞偏中性。虽然剔除了11月份声明中关于核心通胀疲软的担忧,但稍早时段公布的美国11月CPI不及预期,使得市场对该措辞被剔除反应不大。

另据OIS暗示,美联储2018年3月加息概率为68%,6月加息25个基点的可能性被充分消化。

而据华尔街日报报道,美联储声明中认为通胀最终将回到2%的目标。但美联储委员认为目前的通胀水平仍很疲弱。总的来说,美联储基于调查的长期通胀预期指标几乎没有变化。

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