财经快讯

黄金“先苦后甜” 白银将跑赢

日期:2017-12-21

随着市场担忧情绪普遍消退,高盛预计金价在2018年年中将跌至1200美元/盎司左右,但随着新兴市场国家需求的增长,到2020年底,金价将升至1375美元/盎司。

高盛预计银价将高于黄金,并在2018年底前上涨。高盛周二(12月19日)公布的前景报告中包含了贵金属的预测,高盛表示2018年看好大宗商品这一资产类别。

这家投资银行表示,由于往往会导致黄金避险买盘的“恐惧情绪”缓和,短期内看空黄金。近几周来,随着投机者撤出看涨头寸,金价走低。分析师表示,他们不认为黄金的疲软与比特币的大幅上涨有关,称黄金和加密货币是“非常不同的资产”,特别是由于黄金交易所交易基金没有相应的退出。

黄金“先苦后甜” 白银将跑赢(图1)

近期悲观看法背后的主要因素是,人们预期发达国家国内生产总值将强劲增长,美联储将进一步加息,地缘政治风险不会恶化,2018-19年不会出现衰退。该行列出的3个月、6个月和12个月预期分别为1225美元、1200美元和1225美元。

与此同时,高盛分析师预测,到2018年,白银将比黄金表现更好,因为今年迄今为止,黄金表现更逊一筹,涨幅为8%。在呼吁黄金在2018年年中走软时,高盛预计未来6个月白银价格大致持平,并在未来12个月内增加。该行列出的3个月、6个月和12个月的银价预测分别为16.20美元、16美元和17.20美元。

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