财经快讯

美联储加息预期拖累黄金需求

日期:2018-01-04

美联储周三(1月3日)晚间公布12月货币政策会议纪要显示,决策者们支持进一步加息。这为近期疲软的美元带来新的驱动因素,美元指数刷新日高位,至92.26。随着美元上涨,市场投资者对于黄金的避险需求减弱,现货黄金出现九天来首次下跌。

美联储加息预期拖累黄金需求(图1)

金价从三个半月高位附近短线急跌约80点,跌破1310美元/盎司,刷新日内新低,随后再度回升。此前,黄金现货连续八天上涨,创下2011年年中以来最长连涨。截至目前,现货黄金的交易价格为1314.63,日内跌幅0.22%。


周三公布的12月13日结束的FOMC会议纪要显示,多数与会者支持继续渐进加息。RBC Wealth Management驻纽约董事总经理George Gero说,近乎鹰派的信号帮助那些有需求或获利回吐的投资者离场。


黄金走势的关键还在于,通胀的上涨以及美联储的反应。在过去的几年里,黄金与美国实际利率有着密切的关系,或者考虑到通货膨胀后的利率。黄金没有提供收益率,当美国实际收益率下降时,金价往往会上涨,反之亦然。

投资者也在考虑在油价上涨和上月美国总统特朗普签署的税收改革之后,通胀是否会上升。盛宝银行战略主管奥勒·汉森表示,“美元指数下跌是促使近期黄金价格持续上涨的主要因素。尽管创纪录的股市估值和对加密货币的需求飙升,但黄金还是吸引了更多的需求。”

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