财经快讯

央行研究局副局长纪敏:短期存在加息空间

日期:2018-01-08
8日,中国日报援引央行研究局副局长纪敏称,自去年来工业产品价格和企业利润不断提升,短期内中国存在着加息的空间。在对利率做出调整前,通胀和汇率将被计入考虑因素。

  

据中国日报,央行研究人士近期一致认为,更高的利率将有助于挤出资产泡沫、抑制债务扩张。中国日报援引央行官员称,在不考虑借贷成本的情况下,潜在的加息和去产能的推进将进一步改善工业企业的投资回报。

  

去年下半年以来,央行研究局官员在公开场合多次谈及利率问题。

  

去年10月,央行研究局局长徐忠在谈及去杠杆问题时指出,降杠杆并非利率越低越好。徐忠称,低利率容易加剧资产泡沫,引发脱实向虚。

  

央行研究局副局长纪敏:短期存在加息空间 (图1)

去年年底,纪敏在“2017中国债券论坛”上发表演讲时指出,去年三季度以来的利率上升总体上是良性的,现在的利率不是高而是低多了:

  

从长期看,利率取决于由实体经济投资回报率决定的所谓均衡利率,从这个较为根本的角度,我们现在的利率不是高而是低多了。

  

2017年回顾:通胀回升 汇率走强

  

在经历了2017年年初的回落之后,中国CPI全年持续回升,从低点0.8%缓慢上行至近2%。与此同时,PPI维持“高位震荡”,全年持稳于5%上方。
 

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